Well, Obama has stretched to a 12 point average lead in the compilation of
nationwide polls. Everyone says that's outside the "Bradley effect" buffer that
Obama requires (to account for the fact that black people are inexplicably more
unpopular on election day than people who answer opinion polls admit).
good from my perspective. We've been working really hard, you see. Trying to be
balanced. So that Americans don't come across as total racist bigots. It's been
You see, we've been in West Virginia all week and I have yet to find someone who doesn't think Obama is a Muslim (and therefore a terrorist), nor does anyone here flinch at the suggestion that the phrase "Obama Biden" is simply the Arabic way of spelling "Osama bin Laden". West Virginia has two main industries, logging and coal-mining. If it came down to a choice, they would prefer to get black lung than a black President.
But if Obama's got it in
the bag, then I can relax. We don't have to be as balanced. We can just head to
New York, and do some puff pieces about Obama-as-cultural-phenomenon, and then
head home before the poll even begins.
Well, that was my plan, until the
BBC ruined it this morning. According to a report
the smart money is on Osama bin Laden (as distinct from Obama Biden) releasing
another video tape on the eve of the election. This could play into McCain's
hands because McCain consistently outpolls Obama on national security issues,
mainly, I think, because the "McCain Palin" ticket doesn't sound at all like a
In view of this, you'd have to say that despite the
polls Obama is the outside chance to win the November 4 poll. Unless of course
America is attacked by a terrorist going by the name of "Munchane Baylin". That
would even things up.
After this election, I think there'll be something
called the "McCain effect" for way old white men are inexplicably more popular
on election day than their performance in the campaign would suggest.