Scales tipping in Evans favour
After the announcement of BMC’s line-up and Cadel Evans' solid performances over the last five months, in my mind, the scales are tipping more in his favour than of any other rider.

BMC's Cadel Evans at the 2010 Tour de France (Getty)
- 65 Comments | Join the discussion
As the Teams are filling the last few places of their Tour de France
rosters, one thing is crystal clear, of the 22 teams selected for the
biggest race of the year, there will be eight at the start with the
ambition and capacity to have their respective leaders on the podium in
Paris.
These teams are Saxo Bank-Sungard, Leopard Trek, BMC, Rabobank, RadioShack, Liquigas, Sky and Garmin-cervelo.
After
the announcement of BMC’s line-up and Cadel Evans' solid performances
over the last five months, in my mind, the scales are tipping more in
his favour than of any other rider.
Indeed, Alberto Contador
rode a strapping and credible Giro d'Italia, and he is the best Grand
Tour rider of the last decade by far but there is a fitness question
mark over him.
Can Contador recover in time for the Tour de France to prove to us all that he deserves that crown?
Several points of great advantage do go to Contador - he has the team, his own and Riis’experience to back him.
Andy
Schleck was strong in the European spring this year but certainly
wasn’t as dominant as he was in 2010 - missing a few key race-form
indicators.
Even though he keeps repeating to the press that
everything is going according to plan for the Tour de France, I'm
reluctant to bank on that show of confidence.
Schleck's
time-trials in Tour of California and Tour of Switzerland were nothing
to write home about and this is the discipline which let him down in the
2010 edition of the Grande Boucle.
His Big Day Out in
Switzerland, on the hunt for a stage victory, leaves me wondering if he
has got the climbing form in the mountains to challenge for a place on
the podium in Paris.
Ivan Basso, was always thought of as a
strong challenger for the Tour this year but has suffered greatly from
injuries after a nasty tumble in May.
This may leave him
struggling for the condition he will need during the first two weeks of
the Tour in which he can’t afford to lose valuable time.
Cadel
Evans has taken a much more calculated approach to this season’s
build-up to the Tour. He also has been on target for all his key races,
which indicates that he has been working very hard in-between races for
this year’s assault on the Tour.
His BMC team has gathered more
strength and cultivated confidence with a lot of experienced support,
from both riders and staff, something he needs to cleverly utilize to
his advantage.
I agree with Team General Manager Jim Ochowicz,
BMC have a nicely balanced tour team for the nervous and windy first
week including the all-important teams time-trial - while also having
competent riders to protect Evans on the flats and support him during
the toughest mountain stages.
Evans' greatest asset in the 2011 Tour lies in the fact that he seems to have become a calmer and more patient man.
If
he has truly mastered these skills, Evans will be able to think more
clearly and act more decisively as a team leader, enabling him to
appropriately give and receive orders and information to and from his
riders and team directors.
During the 2008 tour with Team CSC
Saxo Bank I watched and monitored Evans before, during and after each
stage. He was after all our biggest rival for the overall victory. I
especially watched and read all of his interviews.
The press was surely able “to bring out the best” in him.
Evans
lost so much energy because he was not protected by his team management
and he wasn’t shielding himself either by letting the pressures and
journalists get under his skin.
I don’t think most spectators
realized how much valuable nervous energy this cost him - energy, which
he needed and lacked during the last three mountain stages of the 2008
Tour!
So to distill my opinion from this folks; what I’m trying
to say is that neither Contador or Schleck will have the liberty to make
any mistake, big or small, as Evans has got the form and the team to go
all the way in the Tour de France this year.
I invite you to watch it unfold on SBS, and to follow me on twitter: @triplsmc - for updates and daily behind the scenes info during the Tour.
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Comments (65)
24 Jul 2011 1:40 AEST
From:
02 Jul 2011 20:28 AEST
From: Sunbury
Pete you are obviously some kind of idiot! Mark Webber is only one of the best drivers in the world in the best race car team in the world in the most technical sport in the world where minute details can mean the difference between 1st and 2nd. As for Cadel he is nowhere near the sportsman Webber is but i remember him being world champion not too long ago. Stick to golf or some other crap sport and go to bed early tonight losser.
02 Jul 2011 8:52 AEST
From:
Cadel's time's passed & he won't win the tour. Cadel for mine will always "be the bridesmaid never the bride". What he has achieved is fantastic and kudos wher Kudos is due but he just can't get over the line 1st IN a grand tour. Like it or not the results don't lie & fact is fact. I agree with Pete that Cadel always has an excuse as to why he "just" misses out. I for one am over hearing him have a whinge when the cookie doesn't crumble his way. Every other pro has the same s*%t to deal with.
01 Jul 2011 10:26 AEST
From:
Disagree, webber is more equivalent to Stuart O Grady, tough as nails, things don't always slot into place for him and tells it how it is. Webber is more graceful in defeat. Cadel and Schleck ride too safe.
30 Jun 2011 12:14 AEST
From: Geelong
As long as Cadel believes he can win it then I would back him.
30 Jun 2011 11:22 AEST
From:
I think both of the sportsmen have admitted mistakes, probably something you rarely do. Both guys are not the best in the world but they are very close. Do you expect them just to retire after saying we are not the best. Contador and Vettel would have pretty lonely races if that was the mantra. They are allowed to believe they have a chance. Other people do, that's why they get paid the big bucks and win fairly often, and thats why you sit behind a screen and hope that people like your sniping.
29 Jun 2011 20:23 AEST
From:
some people have no idea. sorry what was your name, I will keep an eye out for you while im in France.
29 Jun 2011 11:42 AEST
From: Brisbane
Firstly Ross, I think AC will win and Cadel most likely a podium. Now 2010 TDF facts. Stg 9: AC caught break with AS but had nothing. As AS was his only help he owed no one. Stg 12: AC attacked AS and chased down his own teammate Vino who would have won. Watch the replays. He tried to mark Rodriguez but was spent. Stg 17: AS beat AC to the line. Now maybe he let him win. Maybe AC had nothing left? So AC gave maybe 1 stage win to AS (read up Ross). Stages do NOT = GC wins. TDF is not the GIRO.
28 Jun 2011 23:33 AEST
From: Newcastle
I think poor old Cadel is cyclings answer to motor sports Mark Webber. He always has an excuse and never has the tenacity to admit he may have done things wrong or just was not strong enough. Would much rather see Cadel be a little humble and accept his place.
28 Jun 2011 23:29 AEST
From: gold coast
I think cadel will win this year! contador, as great of a rider as he is he spent it all in the giro, as for andy and frank schleck they ahve to be 2 of the most overrated riders going around! andy cant time trial so he wont win! rabbobank have a reall strong team so gesink will be up there and dont discard roche either always seems to finish top 10.
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Australian Scott Sunderland made a name for himself as a professional
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ranks Scott started a new life as a highly respected Sporting Director
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