TdF Files: Truth be told

10 July 2012 | 13:00 - By Anthony Tan

It was a crushing victory by Team Sky in Monday’s individual time trial but to exclude Cadel Evans from a repeat victory is to forget about his heroics of yesteryear, writes Anthony Tan from Besançon.

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Wiggins heads down the ramp for the start of his stage-winning ride. (Getty Images)

Everyone’s fallible – I’m not a machine, by any means. I’m only human, at the end of the day.“Tomorrow is the race of truth and the truth will be told,” Sean Yates, Team Sky sport director, said after the eighth stage to Porrentruy, in anticipation of Monday’s 41.5 kilometre individual time trial from Arc-et-Senans to Besançon.

Truth be told, Bradley Wiggins and Christopher Froome were a crater-sized cut above the rest, and deserve the numerous accolades received today from all and sundry.

It was a masterful performance that, had one been closely following Team Sky since its inception was not unsurprising, even if by day’s end, the gaps were wider than most anticipated. “We’ve trained to be consistent, we’ve trained to back up really hard days, (like) the last couple of days and today,” said Wiggins, who now holds a 1 minute, 53 second lead over defending champion Cadel Evans, and 2:07 on his lanky sidekick Froome.

Wiggins said the plan was not to win the stage. It was more about gaining time on his GC rivals in a discipline that, aside from Fabian Cancellara and Tony Martin, he has almost no peer. But in being so good at it, so prepared for it, and so primed for the effort that lasted 51 minutes and 24 seconds for an average speed of 48.4 km/h, the only logical conclusion was that he would win the stage and gain time on his rivals.

Now, if we extrapolate what happened today and said the relative gaps would be the same in the final time trial over 53.5km, we might as well hand Wiggins the final maillot jaune now and the Crédit Lyonnais lion to boot.

Thankfully, though, stage racing, and in particular racing a Grand Tour with the intent to win, is not so straightforward and logical. “It’s never over (till the end). You could walk out of here and get run over by a bus… you don’t know,” Wiggins said.

“Everyone’s fallible – I’m not a machine, by any means. I’m only human, at the end of the day. And there’s always a possibility of a bad day or getting sick or something.”

Indeed, there are so many variations of what could happen in the next 11 days it would be folly to think Wiggins has it in the bag – even with a lead as sizeable as the one he currently enjoys and arguably the strongest team in the Tour with which to defend it.

Quite simply, it is impossible to plan for every permutation no matter how hard one may try. Although it does seem likely Team Sky is prepared to sacrifice Froome so that Wiggins can succeed. “Our goal is still to have the jersey in Paris. That means not jeopardising Bradley’s GC position. We’re going to try and do that in the best way possible,” Yates said, following Monday’s stage.

It is also difficult to know what Cadel and BMC Racing might do from here.

Wiggins is certain about one thing: “This race is far from over and Cadel, I’ve said it so many times now, he’s an absolute fighter, and he’s not going to give up till we get to Paris. It’s never over (till the end)… Today’s just one day of many and there’s a lot more to come.”

Interestingly, in a time trial 12km longer at the recent Critérium du Dauphiné, Evans lost by the same margin to Wiggins as he did today; 1 minute, 43 seconds. Historically he gets better as the race goes on but Cadel will not just need to be better, but a lot better – demonstrating as much last year when, compared to exact same time TT at the Dauphiné, he went 1:07 faster at the Tour.

Evans will also have to attack, or at least try to attack, Wiggins & Co. in the ensuing mountain stages. Because to not do so and instead rely on he growing stronger at the expense of the Brit and his lads faltering in the final week would be wishful thinking.

"We’ll re-assess the situation day-by-day and of course we don’t give up, that’s for sure,” Evans said after finishing sixth on the ninth stage, not giving away anything yet (though perhaps because they had yet to form a race plan based on having two challengers in the top three from the same team).

Added BMC team manager, John Lelangue: “Two minutes, two weeks – we (still) have time.”

Right now, however, it is Wiggins’ race to lose. Provided he doesn’t get steamrolled by a bus or encounter serious misfortune on the bike, a defensive strategy is all that is needed from Team Sky.

But while others may have given up the ghost Cadel and his troops are readying themselves to deploy Operation Kitchen Sink, at a time that suits them. “There’s still a lot more racing to go before Paris,” Evans said.

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21 Jul 2012 21:04 AEST

Bonecrasher

From: London

Do you even Know anything about the Tour. Last year there were 3 TT as well, one being the Team TT. If they had gone to the team TT Sky would still have smashed every other team because they were simply the strongest all round. Don't be so bitter old chum, and remeber Cadel actually won it on a TT last year otherwise he would not have had a prayer of Beating Schleck in the mountains as it proved!

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16 Jul 2012 10:01 AEST

G.Foster

From:

I have been watching the tour many years now. This is probably the worst one I have seen. We have 2 horses in the race- That is it. How often is the 2nd GC contender also the teammate of 1st place and not even concerned about the win. Wiggins was lucky this year with so many TT. it is all that separates him. Gone are the days where the yellow jersey would carry its own weight in the Alps and not rely on the teams pull.

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14 Jul 2012 15:27 AEST

Phil Sinclair

From: Qld

I wonder what is the percentage of previously caught drug/doping cheats and self confessed drug takers compared to the total number of riders in the TdF? And how should the fans feel if they win or assist another to win any stage/prize along the way? Is there some kind of whistle blower protection/concept in the peleton or team program? Continuing this failure in cycling and many other sports for soo long is sad and lets all the fans/aspiring kids and parents/sponsors down.

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13 Jul 2012 1:04 AEST

Ricahrd O'Brien

From: Melbourne

could someone tell the race referee that the motorbikr cameras are way to close , the front of palliton (wiggons, ske ) are getting slip stream .. when cadel takes off to gane time on leader , the ske team slipsteam camera and catch cadel , u cont see cadel slip straeming a motorbike camera , its bollicks !!!

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11 Jul 2012 23:14 AEST

Mario

From:

@ Peter, would 'As if!' have applied if we were having this same conversation 10 years ago about Discovery/US Postal? I'm not saying Sky are doping. I hope they aren't. But you can't blame cycling fans who have been around the block a few times for having suspicions.

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11 Jul 2012 15:08 AEST

Johhny

From: sydney

Just think how good the tour would have been if Andy Schleck and Alberto were also contesting this year. It looks like a two horse race with one horse along way in front. at the moment.

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11 Jul 2012 14:09 AEST

Chris

From: Bundaberg

Spot on Clarkie and Merv. I can hardly wait until Stage 10 tonight :-)

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11 Jul 2012 11:45 AEST

Clarkie

From: Leederville

This is another well-written, balanced and thought-out article from the Tan Man. I think you are better behind the keyboard than in front of the camera, so keep em coming.

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11 Jul 2012 11:41 AEST

Clarkie

From: Leederville

I find it funny that 20 people disagree with this comment. This race could go to the wire - there may not be lots of attack/counter attacking from Wiggo and Froome, but I think we are going to see some bodies on the climbs of the Pyrenees and the Alps as the rest try to get their time back.

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11 Jul 2012 11:25 AEST

AussieAnne

From: Brisbane

Hoping there is no doping, am a big Cadel fan, but sometimes there is truth in the saying "thou do protest too much" They say the yellow jersey gives you wings, but that didn't apply to Andy Schleck last year! Hard to believe that Wiggins and Froome can so comprehensively beat Cancallara - yes they are excellent, but they are NOT TT specialists. Cadel is a good TT as well, and he trains for these trials just as hard, but doesn't have that 'other worldly performance - it does make you wonder!

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