Labor 'would lose 8 seats under Gillard'

4 Jul 2010, 2:49 pm   -   Source: AAP
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Prime Minister Julia Gillard will win the next election but Labor will lose eight seats, the punters predict.  

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Prime Minister Julia Gillard will win the next election but Labor will lose eight seats, the punters predict.  
 
The federal government's stocks have improved since Labor ditched Kevin Rudd last month in favour of his former deputy Ms Gillard.
  
But Centrebet still expects the government to lose eight seats at the next election but still enough to form a 10-seat majority.
  
Under this scenario, Labor would hold 80 federal seats, compared with 67 for the coalition and three for the independents.
  
A redistribution has made five coalition-held seats notionally Labor, putting 88 electorates in the government's column.
  
A uniform swing of 1.5 per cent away from Labor would see the government lose eight seats, including the electorate of Bennelong held by high-profile television journalist turned MP Maxine McKew.
  
Disendorsed MP Belinda Neal's NSW central coast seat of Robertson would also fall to the coalition along with Perth electorate of Hasluck and the Darwin seat of Solomon.
  
Labor's odds of winning the next election have shortened to $1.29 with the coalition's odds now out at $3.50, following a $50,000 bet with Centrebet at the weekend.
  
This is the government's shortest odds of victory since December last year, when the Liberals dumped Malcolm Turnbull as leader for Tony Abbott.
  
Centrebet has temporarily suspended betting for an election date, with August 28 presently the favourite.
  
With Ms Gillard heading to Queensland, an election is unlikely to be called on Sunday for early August.
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Your Comments

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David - from Qld, 2 years ago

8 seats, pleassse, who would vote for this backstabbing puppet... vote for greens and coalition government, then some real change might happen. WA and Qld labor vote have totally collapsed.... and when western sydney is voting liberals, you know labor is history. only a 2.3% swing and labor's history, and they are looking sooooo gone right now... and isnt this the honeymoon peroid. i guess she is used to fixing things now, like the whole eduction revolution. labor could do with a revolution.

Mr.

Konstantin - from Adelaide, 2 years ago

The non-renewable mineral recourses in Australia are being exploited by the largest mining conglomerates in the world who should unquestionably pay fair tax to the owners for the privilege. Their shareholding is mostly in the hands of the international business and wealthy individual who by virtue of their wealth are making the most of our rich mineral deposits. By opposing the tax in toto the opposition has isolated itself from the international miners with its policy firmly set against the Australian Tax payers, who eventually are to benefit directly and indirectly form the MRRT. Wealth redistribution via taxes is any democratic government’s priority and duty to its citizens, except for the conservative parties in Australia. The Tory mentality of the federal opposition is self-defeating as things stand at present. Australia is in the threshold of major tax restructuring and if the federal opposition is serious about the wellbeing of our democratic structure in government then it will eventually have to embrace the new tax regime, which can only benefit from support across the political divide.

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