US President George W Bush's Republican party has cut the Democratic opposition's lead three days before key Congressional elections dominated by the Iraq war, polls show.
By
AFP

Source:
AFP
6 Nov 2006 - 12:00 AM  UPDATED 22 Aug 2013 - 12:18 PM

The ABC News/Washington Post survey of likely voters gave the opposition a
51-45 percent edge nationally over the Republicans, who control both chambers of Congress, down from a double-digit lead in the previous poll.

It also showed that Iraq was still the top campaign issue and Mr Bush's approval rating remained low.

A Pew Research Center poll found that Democrats had a 47-43 percent lead over Republicans for the House of Representatives among likely voters, down from 50-39 percent just two weeks ago.

The Democrats need to post a net gain of 15 House seats and six Senate seats in Tuesday's election to capture Congress. Control of the Senate could be determined in hotly contested races in Missouri, Virginia and Montana.

All 435 House seats and 33 of the 100 Senate seats are up for grabs.

Pew attributed the majority party's gains to an apparent surge in enthusiasm and engagement among Republicans days before the election, a narrowing of Democrats' lead among independent voters from 18-points in October to 11-points now, and an improvement in Mr Bush's standing.

President Bush's job approval among registered voters has risen from 37 percent in early October to 41 percent in the new survey, Pew said. But a majority of voters, 53 percent, still disapprove of Mr Bush's performance.

But the ABC News/Post poll found that Mr Bush's 40 percent approval rating was the lowest for a president heading into a midterm election since Harry Truman in 1950, when his Democratic party lost 29 seats in Congress.

Then President Ronald Reagan's approval rating was 42 percent in 1982, when the Republican icon's party lost 26 seats.

The two new polls indicate that some voters consider their ballots on Tuesday a vote against President Bush.

Among registered voters, 31 percent say they are voting to show opposition to Mr Bush, compared to 17 percent saying it is a vote of support, according to the ABC News/Post poll. Half said Mr Bush is not a factor.

The situation in Iraq remains the top issue of the midterm election, with 48 percent of voters citing it as the most or second most important issue in their vote, according to Pew.

The polls were released prior to news of the conviction of former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein for crimes against humanity. Saddam was sentenced to death by hanging.

A Newsweek survey out Saturday had better news for the Democrats, giving them a 16-point edge.

The weekly magazine's poll found that 54 percent of likely voters nationally would cast their ballots for the Democratic candidates in their districts, versus 38 percent who preferred the Republicans.

That poll also found the Iraq war was the most important issue for 32 percent of registered voters when choosing a House or Senate candidate.

Mr Bush's approval rating was also lower in the Newsweek poll, at 35 percent, compared with 37 percent in the magazine's October 26-27 poll.

The ABC News poll was taken by telephone November 1-4, among 1,205 adults, including 1,037 self-identified registered voters. The Pew survey was conducted during the same dates among 2,369 registered voters

A Democratic victory would dramatically reshape the political landscape for President Bush's final two years in office and the 2008 election to choose his successor.

Control of Congress would provide the Democrats with a powerful tool for controlling the political agenda over the next two years and launching a series of public investigations into Iraq and other Bush policies.