The state has now tipped over its target of 60 per cent double dose vaccination, with restrictions to begin to ease when 70 per cent of the eligible population has been fully vaccinated, which is expected to be around 11 October.
At this point, people will be able to welcome five people to their home and 20 people can gather outdoors provided everyone over 16 is fully vaccinated.
"It is just this week and next week that we have to hang in there for," Premier Gladys Berejiklian said on Monday.
"We are nearly, nearly there, and let's not give up at the last minute. I know how hard it's been, because we have all experienced what we've missed out on, and I think all of us will be thinking about what we can do on 11 October, who we'd like to see and what we'd like to do."
Three-stage roadmap out of lockdown revealed
What happens at 80 per cent double dose?
The premier said she expects the state to reach its 80 per cent double dose vaccination target around two weeks later, when NSW residents can enjoy a greater easing of restrictions.
These will include unrestricted travel between Greater Sydney and regional NSW, originally slated to kick in at the 70 per cent vaccination mark.
At the 80 per cent target, NSW residents will also be able to welcome 10 visitors to their home (not including children 12 and under); community sport can resume; hospitality venues can reopen to standing patrons; places of worship, retail stores, gyms and indoor recreation facilities can reopen; and caps will be removed on funerals, weddings and personal services such as hairdressers.
Entertainment venues including cinemas, theatres, libraries and museums can also operate while amusement centres and nightclubs will remain closed.
All indoor venues must abide by the four-square-metre rule.
In addition, outdoor recreation facilities can open, up to 200 people can attend COVID-safe events and up to 500 people can attend controlled (ticketed and seated) events.
Carpooling will also be permitted.
At this stage, NSW will also return to the pre-Delta arrival caps of 3,500 per week.
“If fully vaccinated Aussies are coming home, there is no reason why we need to have a cap after a particular number. So I’m all for reuniting Aussies, reuniting families," the premier said.
At this stage, those who are not fully vaccinated can only gather outdoors in groups of two.
Employers must also continue to allow employees to work from home where possible, and "require" those who are unvaccinated to work from home.
What about at 90 per cent double dose?
The final stage of the state's roadmap will kick in on 1 December, when around 90 per cent of the eligible population is expected to have been vaccinated.
At this point, all restrictions will ease and the two-square-metre rule will apply in all indoor settings and at outdoor facilities.
Amusement centres and arcades will also be able to operate with one person per four square metres.
There will be no limit on the number of visitors to a home or on the number of people who can attend informal outdoor gatherings, while a COVID-safe plan will be required for outdoor events for more than 1,000 people.
At this stage, working from home will be at the employer's discretion and all year groups in schools will return to face-to-face learning.
Unvaccinated to wait for eased restrictions
NSW residents who remain unvaccinated will have to wait until the state reaches its 90 per cent double dose vaccination target before they can enjoy the same eased restrictions as the vaccinated.
The premier said she expected those who are unvaccinated to be disappointed by this news.
"I think today is a very disappointing day for those who aren’t vaccinated. I think they assumed when we hit 80 per cent double dose they will have certain freedoms," she said. "They will have to wait five or six weeks after others."
"It's not too late" to get vaccinated, she urged.
"You have the option, go today, make your booking and get vaccinated not only to protect yourself and your loved ones but also the community."
Deputy Premier John Barilaro said there was “no excuse” for people in the regions not to get vaccinated.
“The 70 per cent roadmap does apply to the whole state so there will be individuals in regional and rural NSW who choose not to be vaccinated who will lose their freedoms on 11 October," he said.
“With Moderna coming online and the additional Pfizer supply and AstraZeneca in abundance, there is no excuse in rural and regional NSW not to get vaccinated. Let's keep climbing with the vaccination rates, a fantastic number so far but let's not fall behind in the regions because freedom day is not far away.”
Hospitalisation rates lower than projected
There are currently 1,155 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 214 people in intensive care, 115 of whom require ventilation, Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant said on Monday.
All age groups were represented in ICU, she said.
The premier said the hospitalisation rate and the number of people in ICU was lower than modelling had projected, which she said was “pleasing” but added “it doesn’t mean we are out of the woods in terms of overwhelming our hospitals”.
“Technically, we are still looking at our system being overwhelmed in October and I ask people to exercise caution there," she said.
"We know that once we start reopening at 70 per cent double dose that the case numbers will go through the roof, but what will protect us is the fact that so many people have received at least the first dose of the vaccine and those people will have that extra layer of protection against ending up in hospital or worse.”
Ms Berejiklian said even at 80 per cent double dose, people will still need to exercise “a huge degree of caution".
“I don’t want to be the party pooper but I’ve said let’s not think about this as a freedom day, but let’s think about this as a staged reopening to getting back to normal."
Cases increasing in regional NSW
Dr Chant said health authorities were seeing an increase in cases around Newcastle, Muswellbrook, Singleton and Newcastle in general as well as in the Illawarra, particularly Wollongong and Shellharbour.
Ongoing sewage surveillance has detected fragments of the virus that causes COVID-19 in sewage samples from Grafton North and South, Wardell on the north coast, and Dareton in the far west.
Across NSW, 85.5 per cent of the over-16 population has now received a first dose of COVID-19 vaccine, with around 40 per cent of 12 to 15-year-olds having now received their first dose.
The news comes as outdoor pools re-open everywhere NSW on Monday, with even the unvaccinated allowed to swim at pools within their local government area.
Meanwhile construction sites in NSW are now able to return to full capacity with COVID safety plans, after previously being restricted to 50 per cent.