The outlook suggests winter rainfall is likely to be below average for New South Wales, South Australia, northern Victoria and western parts of Western Australia. The shift towards drier conditions is particularly strong for areas around the Murray Darling Basin and eastern NSW which have a 70-80 per cent chance of below average rainfall. Elsewhere around the country, the chances of exceeding average rainfall are roughly 50 per cent.
Daytime temperatures across much of the country are likely to be warmer than average, with the greatest chance (more than 80 per cent) in New South Wales, Victoria and Tasmania. Overnight temperatures are also expected to be above average across the country, except for parts of the tropical north.