Australia urged to take action with global dementia cases set to triple by 2050

Pedestrians are seen in the CBD in Sydney, Tuesday, August 7, 2018. Australia will welcome its 25 millionth resident late on Tuesday night. The ABS estimates that at 11pm on Tuesday, the milestone will be reached - although it will be impossible to know w

Pedestrians in Sydney's CBD. Dementia cases are set to rise in every country with the global number expected to triple by mid-century. Source: AAP

New research says the number of adults living with dementia worldwide is set to nearly triple by 2050 -- to 153 million. Dementia cases are set to rise in every country, although the largest growth is expected in north Africa and the Middle East; and the smallest increase is forecast for Asia Pacific and western Europe. Advocates in Australia are calling for a scaling up of programs tackling lifestyle risk factors, and greater support for research into treatments.


It is the second leading cause of death of Australians, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

Dementia - a condition involving a deterioration in cognitive function beyond the normal effects of ageing - now has an estimated global societal cost $1.8 trillion Australian dollars.

A study, published in the Lancet Public Health journal, for the first time uses comprehensive country-level estimates to forecast the prevalence of dementia in those aged 40 years and over in 195 nations.

The regions set for the biggest increase are north Africa and the Middle East and eastern sub-Saharan Africa.

The smallest increases are forecast for the Asia Pacific and western Europe.

A Lancet commission in 2020 suggested up to 40 per cent of cases could be prevented or delayed if 12 risk factors are addressed: low education, high blood pressure, hearing impairment, smoking, midlife obesity, depression, physical inactivity, diabetes, social isolation, excessive alcohol consumption, head injury and air pollution.

Associate Professor Michael Woodward, the honorary medical adviser for Dementia Australia, says there has been a noticeable impact from public health campaigns.

And he says efforts in this area will need to be ramped up to stop the projected rise to one million dementia cases in Australian adults by 2050.

 

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