There may not be a firm date for an election yet, but analysis is already appearing on which government MPs look likely to lose their seats.
MPs in marginal seats are always nervous around election time.
But for several government MPs in marginal seats the most recent poll will be tougher than normal with three coalition seats deemed notionally Labor as a result of redistributions.
The Sydney seat of Barton held by Liberal Nickolas Varvaris is the most impacted. On paper Labor holds it with a 5.4 per cent margin.
The New South Wales Liberal-held seats of Dobell and Paterson are also now deemed notionally Labor seats by smaller margins.




