How each Group C team can make the Round of 16

A look at every possible permutation of results that could decide Group C and determine each team's progression.

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Poland and Argentina will progress if…

• Both matches end in a draw
• They draw and Saudi Arabia loses to Mexico – Mexico qualify if they pass Argentina on goal difference
• Argentina wins and Saudi Arabia loses to Mexico – Argentina top group; Mexico qualify if they pass Poland on goal difference

Poland and Saudi Arabia will progress if…

• Both teams win
• Poland win and Saudi Arabia draw
• Poland draw and Saudi Arabia win – Saudi Arabia top group

Argentina and Saudi Arabia will progress if…

• Both teams win - Saudi Arabia top group if they pass Argentina on goal difference
• Argentina win by three goals or more and Saudi Arabia draw*

Poland and Mexico will progress if…

• Both teams win
• Poland draw and Mexico win - Argentina qualify if they remain ahead of Mexico on goal difference

Argentina and Mexico will progress if…

• Both teams win – Poland qualify if they remain ahead of Mexico on goal difference

The consensus

A place in the last 16 is up for grabs for all four teams in Group C.

Poland simply need need a win or draw from their final match against Argentina. They can only qualify with a loss if Saudi Arabia also lose and Mexico do not overtake the Robert Lewandowski-led side on goal difference.

A win will send Argentina through to the last 16. They will also top the group unless Saudi Arabia defeat Mexico and overtake Argentina on goal difference. Lionel Messi and his side can only qualify from a draw if Saudi Arabia and Mexico also draw or if Mexico win by less than three goals, while a loss will see them exit the tournament.

Saudi Arabia will also be guaranteed qualification if they defeat Mexico, and can also make the last 16 with a draw if Argentina either lose or win by four goals or more. A loss will end their run at the tournament.

Mexico can only qualify if both they and Poland win, as it will come down to goal difference if there is another result in the other group match. Mexico will have to win big in the event of a Poland-Argentina draw or an Argentina win.

How to watch the final Group C matches LIVE and FREE on SBS

Poland v Argentina

5:30am - 8:30am (AEDT) - kickoff at 06.00am

LIVE on SBS and SBS On Demand

Saudi Arabia v Mexico

5:30am - 8:30am (AEDT) - kickoff at 06.00am

LIVE on SBS VICELAND and SBS On Demand

Note: The first team mentioned assumes top position in the group in each scenario, unless noted otherwise.