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Is it good time for first home buyers as housing prices to remain stagnant for some time

Amir Khawaja, Gambit Property Group

Source: Supplied

First-home buyers are being told there is no urgency to enter the housing market, with house prices set to remain stagnant in many parts of the country in the next few years. Economic forecasters say Brisbane looks set to have the biggest rises in house prices among capital cities over the next three years, with Sydney projected to have the smallest.


Erika Tod and her partner started their property search in Sydney five years ago.

"When we had a look then, there was literally a line out the door to get in and have a look around and no time to speak to the agent. And when we did, they sometimes didn't even know the answers to our questions that we were asking. So it was very frustrating."

Now, with a growing family, Ms Tod says they are keen to secure that first home.

"And having had a look at a couple of places over the past few weekends, there aren't that many people there, to be totally honest. Compared to five years ago, when there were probably well over 20 couples at any one time viewing properties, we're now one of maybe two or three other couples."

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With a record number of new homes and apartments hitting the market, some areas are in oversupply.

There has also been a slowdown in investor activity amid tighter lending rules.

The banking regulator APRA says, a fter reaching a record in July last year, the value of interest-only loans has slumped to the lowest point since January 2015.

BIS Economics property analyst Angie Zigomanis says that means there is less potential for investors to bid up prices.

"Look, I think, in most markets at the moment, if you're a first-home buyer, there's not a real lot of urgency to be buying. Prices aren't going to be running ahead of you, like they have been, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, in recent years."

Of Australia's capital cities, BIS is predicting Brisbane will have the biggest increase in median prices over the next three years.

It predicts prices in Brisbane will rise 13 per cent as population growth catches up when a slowdown in housing construction eventuates in two years.

Prices in Canberra and Perth are forecast to grow by 10 per cent, while the rest of the country is only expected to have single-digit growth through to 2021.

Sydney prices are tipped to grow the least, by 3 per cent.The softer prices are encouraging first-home buyers back into the market.

They now account for 17.6 per cent of owner-occupier home loans, taking out an average loan of about $343,000.

The head of advice at Dixon Advisory, Nerida Cole,  says first-home buyers saving for deposits can take advantage of the government's first-home, super-saver scheme.

"Any extra money that they put into super, up to an annual limit of $15,000, can then be used to put towards that deposit for their first-home purchase. And by using the super system, they get some of the same concessions that super offers, and that extra tax benefit is what gives them the extra money to put towards the deposit."

It means an average wage-earner on $80,000 a year who uses the scheme over two years would get about a $5,000 tax benefit. Nerida Cole explains.

"You would either set it up through the year as a salary sacrifice with your payroll office. At this time of the year, though, there's not time to do that, so, for the first time, employees are actually able to make a lump-sum, tax-deductible contribution to super. So they can do that right now in the last week, and they can claim then a tax deduction for that contribution and then also be able to use it towards their first home deposit."

Ms Cole says all first-home buyers need to do now then is find that money to make the lump-sum deposit. She says an average wage-earner on $80,000 a year who uses the scheme over two years would get about a $5,000 tax benefit from it.

Indian Australian Amir Khwaja is director with Gambit Property group. He says if you are a first home buyer don’t think of dream home, only try and buy what you can afford.

He explains, once you have equity on your first home it will be easier to get loan to by “that” dream home.


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