With about 15 per cent of the team members and four per cent of the budget - could Australia's 2018 Winter Olympic team actually win more gold medals than their Rio summer Games counterparts?
It may take a Steven Bradbury-like effort to achieve it but the short answer is this: it's possible.
Exactly a year out from the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics the land of beaches and barbecues is on a hot streak when it comes to sports on snow.
In perhaps the best two months Australia winter sport has had, six different athletes have won World Cup events - or their discipline's equivalent - in what is generally the best marker for potential to grab Games gold.
Belle Brockhoff, (snowboard cross), Lydia Lassila and Danielle Scott (aerial skiing), Britt Cox and Matt Graham (moguls) and Scotty James (snowboard halfpipe) have all stood on top of the dais since mid-December.
Even if they somehow managed to repeat that at the one event in Korea a year from now, that would still leave them three shy of the eight gold medals won in Rio (given Lassila and Scott can't both win gold).
But there's more where that came from.
Throw in two of Australia's medallists from the 2014 Sochi Games - aerial skier David Morris and snowboarder Torah Bright who are both either World Cup or Olympic winners and slopestyle skier Russ Henshaw (a Dew Tour gold medallist and World Cup medallist this season).
Then there's two-time snowboard cross world champion Alex Pullin, who won the last event of 2015/16 and has been on the podium this year.
If more back-up is required there's 2015 aerial skiing world champion Laura Peel and snowboard cross World Cup winner Jarryd Hughes.
And don't forget Australia also has another two world snowboard halfpipe champions in Holly Crawford and Nate Johnstone, who admittedly claimed their titles in weaker fields.
The generally more fickle nature of winter sports means picking up nine gold from a dozen potential medallists would be a conversion to make Jonny Wilkinson proud.
But half a dozen medals? Perhaps that's not so much of a stretch if current form continues. And that would also be double the previous best Winter Olympics haul from an Australian team.
Australia's Olympic Winter Institute boss Geoff Lipshut says he'd like to "stop right now and wind forward a year" given things are going so well.
More conservatively, Lipshut believes banking one in three results from potential medallists is more realistic, putting a Games haul at around four medals on current estimates.
Regardless, it would be some achievement for a team that will likely boast between 50 and 60 members for Pyeongchang.
Financed to the tune of around $13.2 million over the four-year Games cycle, the bang for sporting buck stacks up pretty well against the summer output.
In Rio Australia had 422 athletes and an estimated $340 million was spent over their four-year cycle. The 29 medals won was the lowest since 1992 - the last Games year Australia failed to win a Winter Olympic medal.
"If anyone does a raw analysis of the amount of medals we are expected to win and the amount of medals other sports are expected to win for the same amount of money, I think you can say we are underfunded - and the government agrees with us," Lipshut said.
Part of the recent winter success he puts down to blooding athletes at the Olympics when still quite young. Cox and James were both just 15 when they made the Vancouver team of 2010.
"For a person that had three podiums in her life before this - and they were all bronze -to win four out of six events (this season) ... that's amazing," he said of Cox.
And James, who won the X Games superpipe title last month in a field that had the last two Winter Olympics winners?
"He was superman. He's not dissimilar to Britt, second youngest to compete at a Games. He's one of the few guys I know in his sport who is doing absolutely everything he can to do to win."
Then there's Lassila, the gold medal winner from 2010 who has since had two children and competed in and won just her second World Cup event in three years last week.
"She is just so determined. She has one of the best game faces I have seen," said Lipshut.
While things are a little less clear with Bright, who has barely competed since winning silver in Sochi, Lipshut says to the best of his knowledge she plans on competing in Pyeongchang in 2018.
Others will do so much sooner.
Over the next week many of the key Australian athletes will get their first taste of the Olympic courses with World Cup events at the intimate floodlit venue of Bokwang Phoenix Park.
A molehill compared to the massifs in Europe and North America, it will host all freestyle skiing and snowboard events and could yet be home to Australia's largest Winter Olympics medal haul.
AUSTRALIA'S WINTER OF CONTENT IN SNOW SPORTS
Alex Pullin (snowboard cross) 1 bronze
Belle Brockhoff (snowboard cross) 2 gold
Lydia Lassila (aerial skiing) 1 gold
Danielle Scott (aerial skiing) 1 gold, 2 silver
Sam Wells (aerial skiing) 1 bronze
Scotty James (snowboard halfpipe) 1 gold (X Games) 1 silver
Russ Henshaw (ski slopestyle) 1 bronze
Britt Cox (moguls) 4 gold, 1 bronze
Matt Graham (moguls) 1 gold 1 silver
Brodie Summers (moguls) 1 bronze
