Labor could lose two Victorian seats and pick up no others, but Premier Daniel Andrews says it's not his fault.
A controversial pay deal for CFA pay staff dominated the election campaign in Victoria, federal Labor figures saying it hurt their chances in the state.
Mr Andrews is having none of it.
"Off the highest base, we have added to that base, we have improved our position, we are set to have the highest two-party preferred vote (on the mainland)," Mr Andrews told reporters on Sunday.
"If the Victorian result was repeated across Australia this would be a landslide victory for Labor."
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Mr Andrews pushed through a deal between the CFA and the United Firefighters Union, leading to anger among volunteers in some marginal seats.
Labor is unlikely to win any new seats off the coalition in Victoria, and could lose Chisholm to the Liberals and Batman to the Greens.
But Mr Andrews pointed to swings towards Labor in marginal seats with CFA coverage to show his decision to force the deal through didn't hurt the vote.
He also backed Bill Shorten to stay on as Labor leader.
"Bill Shorten is the right person to lead Labor whether it be as prime minster or as an opposition leader," he said.
Greens leader Richard Di Natale said results showed the Greens were cementing their place in inner Melbourne.
Adam Bandt retained Melbourne and Alex Bhathal could claim Batman from sitting Labor MP David Feeney - whose campaign got off to a negative start when it was revealed he hadn't declared a $2.3 million property.
The Greens' Stephanie Hodgins-May also has an outside chance at Melbourne Ports.
Journalist-turned-politician Derryn Hinch claimed victory in the Senate and promised to listen and work with whoever formed government.
New Murray MP and former Fremantle AFL coach Damian Drum said minority government was "Australia's worst nightmare" and his voters clearly wanted someone to have a majority.
Independent Indi MP Cathy McGowan ruled out making a formal deal with either party, but said she would stay in contact with Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull in coming days.
