Economy could slow in 2018: Westpac

Westpac chief economist Bill Evans says a contraction in housing construction, slowing exports and weak wage growth could hit economic activity in 2018.

Economic growth of 3.0 per cent is still likely in 2017 but prospects for 2018 are "discouraging", Westpac says.

The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity three to nine months into the future, fell in April.

The index has still been at or above trend for nine consecutive months, indicating economic growth in 2017 will be close to the Reserve Bank's forecast of 3.0 per cent, Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said.

Nonetheless, Mr Evans said, there were concerns for growth beyond 2017 due to a contraction in housing construction, slowing exports and weak wage growth.

"Prospects for growth in 2018 look discouraging," Mr Evans said.

"Prospects for an offsetting boost from household spending and business investment are not encouraging given the ongoing negative feedback loop from weak labour incomes to consumption and sales."

The six-month annualised growth rate fell from 1.11 per cent in March to 0.92 per cent in April.

Mr Evans reiterated that the Reserve Bank is set to hold rates steady when it next meets on June 6, as it assesses developments in the housing and labour markets.


Share

2 min read

Published

Source: AAP



Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world