The coalition in NSW has taken a 51-49 per cent two-party-preferred lead over Labor on the eve of the state election, a special NSW Newspoll for The Weekend Australian shows.
It is the coalition's best Newspoll result in two years, representing a 3.3 per cent swing away from the government compared with its 2015 election result.
If uniform, it would see Premier Gladys Berejiklian lose six seats, meaning she would need one independent's support from the crossbench to form government.
She would become the first popularly elected female premier in NSW history.
But the Newspoll found the coalition faces a big loss of support outside Sydney, with a six per cent slump in primary-vote support to 39 per cent, deadlocking it with Labor at 50-50 on a two-party-preferred basis.
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Ms Berejiklian leads Labor leader Michael Daley 43-35 in the better premier stakes but 22 per cent of voters remained uncommitted.
Mr Daley's satisfaction rating dropped five points from 37 to 32 and his disapproval rating rose nine points from 38 per cent to 47.
A bad week for Mr Daley also hurt Labor's primary vote, now at 35 per cent.
The coalition's statewide primary vote is up one to 41 per cent, with the Greens steady at 10 per cent and "others", which includes independents, One Nation and the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers party, also steady at 14.
