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The seat count the day after

The seats likely to decide who forms government after Saturday's inconclusive federal election.

Bill Shorten
Bill Shorten Source: AAP

2 min read

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Source: AAP


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WHERE WE STAND THE DAY AFTER THE NIGHT BEFORE

ALMOST CERTAIN NOW

Coalition 72

Labor 67

Greens 1

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Independent 4

In doubt 6

HANGING IN THE BALANCE

* Chisholm (Labor VIC): Given to the Liberals on the night but late counting favoured Labor's Stefanie Perri, giving her a lead of just 25 votes. Labor slightly favoured.

* Dunkley (Liberal VIC): A 5.3 per cent swing against the government has put this Liberal seat on the Mornington Peninsula in doubt. Liberal Chris Crewther is leading by 400 votes. More pre-polls and postals likely to break his way

* Forde (LNP QLD): Labor's Des Hardman leads sitting MP Bert van Manen by 143 votes in this Logan electorate south of Brisbane. Postals likely to favour the Libs. Too close to call.

* Gilmore (Liberal NSW): Liberal Ann Sudmalis leads by 405 votes with 85 per cent of the vote counted. Postals likely to get her over the line in this NSW south coast seat.

* Herbert (LNP QLD): Sitting MP Ewen Jones is trailing Labor's Cathy O'Toole by 1084 votes, but the race is far from over in the Townsville-based seat. Postals, especially from defence personnel, will strongly flow to Jones. Line-ball.

* Hindmarsh (Liberal SA): Former Labor MP Steve Georganas leads by 380 votes with 78 per cent of the count finalised. Sitting MP Matt Williams will have to rely on postals in this Adelaide seat. Down to the wire.

BEST GUESS OUTCOME

Coalition 75

Labor 70

Greens 1

Independents 4

SEATS LABOR PICKED UP FROM THE COALITION

Bass, Braddon, Lyons (TAS); Burt, Cowan (WA); Eden-Monaro, Lindsay, Macarthur, Macquarie (NSW); Flynn, Longman (QLD); Solomon (NT).

COALITION LOSS TO NICK XENOPHON TEAM

Mayo (SA).

LIKELY SENATE OUTCOME

Coalition 30

Labor 27

Greens 9

Nick Xenophon Team 3

Independents 7

PRIME MINISTER MALCOLM TURNBULL

"We will dedicate our efforts to ensuring that the state of new parliament is resolved without division or rancour."

LABOR LEADER BILL SHORTEN

"The public have spoken, I'm not sure who has finally won."


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