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Stellar global growth to slow: report

Deloitte Access Economics is expecting more pedestrian global growth in 2019 and 2020, driven by an easing of growth in the United States and China.

Sydney construction site
The impact of falling construction rates shouldn't be too significant, according to new research. (AAP)

Australia's economy will be affected by slower global growth in the next two years, a leading economic forecaster predicts.

But conditions will ultimately be fairly rosy for Australian businesses and families as more jobs are created and companies gradually increase their capacity, according to Deloitte Access Economics.

In its latest Business Outlook, the economic adviser says global growth will slow as the impact of tax cuts in the United States starts to fade and China's slowdown continues.

Growth is also expected to wane in Japan later this year as consumers face more taxes and there is some evidence growth is easing in Europe.

"Today's excellent economic growth around the globe may be pegged back to rather more pedestrian rates through the course of 2019 and 2020," Deloitte Access Economics partner Chris Richardson states in the outlook, released on Tuesday.

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Closer to home, the forecaster says Australia's growth will be weighed down by tightening credit, the drought affecting the eastern states and falling rates of housing construction.

But it doesn't expect the impact of these factors to be too significant.

"The housing correction is occurring amid great job gains and falling unemployment, which makes it rather less dangerous than otherwise," Mr Richardson said.

Business are also expected to increase their capacity, the maximum of what their can produce.

That comes as wage growth is tipped to pick up, albeit at a snail's pace.

"All things considered, that's a pretty happy set of circumstances for Australian businesses and for Australian families," the report states.


2 min read

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Source: AAP



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