Watch FIFA World Cup 2026™

LIVE, FREE and EXCLUSIVE

Australia vulnerable to shocks: Moody's

Moody's Investors Service is concerned that the Turnbull government's budget is vulnerable to external shocks.

A global rating agency is concerned that the Turnbull government will find it difficult to reduce spending, leading to wider deficits for longer than it forecast in this week's budget.

There was some deterioration in projected deficits in the 2016/17 budget compared to expectations made in December, but Treasurer Scott Morrison stuck to his previous forecast for a surplus in 2020/21.

The deficit for the 2016/17 financial year is now put at $37.1 billion compared to $33.7 billion in the mid-year budget review.

"A slow pace of fiscal consolidation will leave public finances vulnerable to negative shocks, particularly to a potential market downturn in the housing sector and a reversal in current favourable external financing conditions," Moody's Investors Service said.

Last month Moody's warned that Australia's triple-A rating with a stable outlook could be at risk if there was a further delay in returning to surplus and debt continues to grow.

News that makes sense

Your trusted source for staying up-to-date with the world around you. Get free daily news updates and analysis, straight to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

In a new report, the agency notes that since the budget returned to deficit in 2009, debt has risen sharply and faster than other triple-A rated economies, albeit coming from a lower level.

The 22.2 percentage-point rise in Australian government debt since 2009 as a proportion to GDP is similar to that seen in Finland, which has a negative outlook, and larger than the US on a stable outlook.

However, it says the economy has shown resilience, forecasting growth of 2.5 per cent for this year and next.

While this was lower than prior to the 2008-2009 global financial crisis, it is somewhat faster than in many other advanced economies.


2 min read

Published

Source: AAP



Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News straight to your inbox

Sign up now for daily news from Australia and around the world. You can also subscribe to Insight's weekly newsletter for in-depth features and first-person stories.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Follow SBS News

Download our apps

Listen to our podcasts

Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service

Stream now

Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world