Bradfield: The final federal seat has been called. Here's why you shouldn't count on a re-election

The race in the Sydney seat has been a rollercoaster ride, with several lead changes between independent Nicolette Boele and Liberal Gisele Kapterian.

Split image of two women, on the left is a brunette and on the right is a woman with grey hair and glasses on top of her head.

Independent Nicolette Boele (right) has beaten Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian (left) in the Sydney seat of Bradfield, ending the Liberal Party's 76-year reign in the seat.

Independent Nicolette Boele has dashed the Liberals' hopes of another lower house seat, winning the Sydney seat of Bradfield by a tiny margin four weeks after the election.

It's the last House of Representatives seat to be finalised, not affecting either of the major parties' results, with Labor securing 94 seats to the Coalition's 43.

The Sydney north shore seat race has been a rollercoaster ride, with several lead changes between Boele and Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian.

The Liberal Party felt so confident in the result that Kapterian attended the party room meeting in which Sussan Ley was elected as its first female leader last month.

When Bradfield went to a recount — according to Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) policy for seats with a margin of fewer than 100 votes — Katperian led by eight votes.
On Wednesday afternoon, the AEC announced Boele had won the seat by 26 votes, ending the Liberal Party's 76-year hold on the seat.

The AEC said the recount was conducted in front of candidate-appointed scrutineers and included a new count of all first preferences, a re-examination of all informal votes, a complete recount of the two-candidate preferred count and full distribution of all preferences.

The AEC found two instances of people voting twice, but were satisfied these were "inadvertent and not deliberate".

Kapterian thanked the AEC officials who undertook the recount, noting it had "created a different result" from the original count.

"I will now carefully review the two counts," she said in a statement on Wednesday afternoon.

Could there be a second election?

To contest the result, a petition must be filed with the Court of Disputed Returns within 40 days of the writ being returned.

The relevant candidate or party would need to plead their case to the court and cast sufficient doubt that the result was affected.
Scrutineers present throughout the recount could be taking notes on disputed papers or discrepancies, although there is no evidence so far to suggest that any impropriety occurred during the count.

Election analyst Ben Raue told SBS News a Liberal challenge of the result is unlikely given the margin.

"I suspect the Liberals might decide not to go ahead with it," he said.

"There was a point earlier in the count where the lead was much narrower, two, three or even one vote ... in that kind of scenario, I think it would have inevitably gone to the court."
Raue said there wasn't much precedent for election results being taken to court. He pointed to the 2007 dispute in the Victorian seat of McEwen as the most recent example.

"That court case was launched when the Liberals were only leading by 12 votes," he said. The Liberal Party ultimately won the case and increased its margin.

In 2016, Labor's Cathy O'Toole won the Queensland seat of Herbert by a mere 37 votes, although a challenge to the court was not issued.


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3 min read

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By Ewa Staszewska
Source: SBS News


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