China July industrial output rises 9.7%

China says its July industrial output rose 9.7 per cent year-on-year, exceeding analyst expectations, while retail sales jumped 13.2 per cent.

Growth in China's key industrial production accelerated to a five-month high in July, the government says, providing optimistic pointers for the world's second-largest economy after months of negative indicators.

Industrial production, which measures output at factories, workshops and mines, rose 9.7 per cent year-on-year, well above analyst expectations of 9.0 per cent in a survey by Dow Jones Newswires.

Authorities also on Friday announced steady expansion in retail sales and fixed asset investment, and a benign inflation figure of 2.7 per cent, unchanged on last month.

Analysts said the figures pointed to a more stable outlook for China's economy - seen as a key driver of global growth.

Lu Ting, a Hong Kong-based economist for Bank of America Merrill Lynch, told AFP the "overall figures are actually very good, especially the industrial output figure".

Gross domestic product (GDP) in China expanded 7.8 per cent in 2012, its slowest annual pace in 13 years.

Growth slipped to 7.7 per cent in the January-March period this year and slowed further to 7.5 per cent in the second quarter, raising alarm bells over possible deeper weakness.

But after Friday's figures Lu said: "The momentum, if maintained, would in fact make everyone's estimation about the second half rather pessimistic, so we will likely see a round of GDP forecast upgrades soon."

Beijing has set a goal of a 7.5 per cent increase in GDP this year and ANZ economists Liu Li-Gang and Zhou Hao said in a report the better-than-expected July data made it "more likely to be attainable".

Concerns over a hard landing had "largely diminished", they added. "This should facilitate and accelerate the structural reform agenda in China."

The government has largely faced down mounting pessimism over the economy and refused to undertake major stimulus efforts as it vows to restructure China's economy to make it less dependent on exports and investment, and driven more by the power of the country's consumers.

The output figures came on the heels of robust trade figures on Thursday and an official manufacturing survey last week that showed expansion when many analysts had expected a contraction.

Exports and imports, which had contracted in June, rebounded in July, growing 5.1 per cent and 10.9 per cent year-on-year respectively, according to Customs.

Two-way trade rose 7.8 per cent year-on-year, slightly lower than the government's eight per cent target for this year but "showing a stabilising and recovering trend", Customs said.

July's output growth figure was higher than June's 8.9 per cent and marked the best performance since the 9.9 per cent recorded for January and February, which were released together due to distortions related to Chinese New Year.

Separately, retail sales, a key indicator for consumer spending, rose 13.2 per cent in July compared with the same month last year, the government said, only a marginal slowing from 13.3 per cent in June.

Growth in fixed asset investment, a key measure of government spending on infrastructure, increased 20.1 per cent during the first seven months of this year compared with the same period in 2012, unchanged on last month's rate.

Earlier on Friday, the government said that inflation held steady at 2.7 per cent year-on-year in July, a result seen as potentially giving the authorities some leeway to take measures to boost the economy if needed.

The consumer price index (CPI) rise was marginally below market expectations of 2.8 per cent, according to the Dow Jones survey. The CPI reading - a main gauge of inflation - has broadly eased since hitting 3.2 per cent in February during the Chinese New Year holiday, although it rebounded in June to a four-month high.


Share

4 min read

Published

Updated

Source: AAP


Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world