Economy expected to strengthen in 2015

Economic growth is forecast to stay below average this year but a boost in consumer spending will give the economy a lift in 2015.

Shoppers in Pitt Street Mall, Sydney.

The economy is expected to pick up pace in 2015 as consumers become confident and start spending. (AAP)

Australia's economy is expected to pick up pace in early 2015 as consumers become more confident and start spending again.

The Westpac/Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity three to nine months into the future, fell by 0.15 points in August.

That would indicate that economic growth will stay at a below average pace for the rest of the year, but Westpac chief economist Bill Evans is more optimistic about the new year.

He expects consumer spending in the second half of 2014 to improve and rise further in the new year.

"That more positive consumer outlook is expected to strengthen further in the first half of 2015, reaching a 3.5 per cent annualised pace," Mr Evan said.

"That is consistent with our slightly more upbeat view on the first half of 2015 than is implied by the index."

Westpac's forecast for annualised economic growth for the first half of 2015 is 3.25 per cent, which is more optimistic than the Reserve Bank's most recent forecast of two to three per cent.

"Over the last six months the index's growth rate has remained at a below trend growth pace," Mr Evans said.

"However, the components of the index which have been driving this below trend pace have evolved."

Mr Evans said consumer confidence and employment expectations will continue to improve into the new year and help boost spending.

He is still forecasting that the RBA will keep the cash rate unchanged at 2.5 per cent until a rate rise in August next year.


Share

2 min read

Published

Updated


Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world