Enjoy good times while they last: IMF

The International Monetary Fund has warned it does not expect the upswing in global growth will last beyond 2019 as world interest rates rise.

Federal Treasurer Scott Morrison

Treasurer Scott Morrison has welcomed the OECD's upgrade of Australian economic growth forecasts. (AAP)

The International Monetary Fund has warned the expected strong momentum in global growth won't last, which could prove challenging for many countries.

In a report prepared for next week's G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting, the IMF says interest rates are rising as monetary policy normalises across the world economy.

It says investment incentives as part of the US tax reform package will expire and subtract from momentum, while population ageing will continue to slow productivity growth.

"The positive momentum expected for 2018 and 2019 will eventually slow, implying a challenging medium-term outlook for many countries," it says in a report released in Washington on Thursday.

It recommends economies take the opportunity to build buffers in their fiscal policy and push reforms that protect the present upswing.

It also urges central banks to keep their interest rates low where inflation remains weak.

In January, the IMF upgraded its projections for global growth to 3.9 per cent for this year and next, partly due to the more expansionary path undertaken by the US.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development made similar upward revisions this week.

The OECD also upgraded its Australian forecasts to three per cent for both 2018 and 2019.

Treasurer Scott Morrison said this was in line with where the government sees the economy going into the future because of stronger investment.

"I think that is further confirmation of the optimism and confidence the government has been expressing," he told reporters on Thursday.

The treasurer and Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe will attend the G20 meeting in Buenos Aires on Monday and Tuesday.

Mr Morrison expects the taxation of multinationals like Google and Amazon - so-called digital taxation - will be a key talking point at the meeting, being a constant topic of conversation during his recent trip to the US.

Mr Morrison will hold a series of meetings on the sidelines of the conference, including with US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond.


Share

2 min read

Published

Source: AAP



Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world