Europol warns of more IS attacks in Europe

The EU's police agency Europol says fresh attacks in Europe by IS are likely, particularly in countries participating in the US-led coalition.

French Police officers patrol near the Eiffel Tower

Europol warns that the Islamic State group could launch fresh attacks in Europe in the near future. (AAP)

Europol warns that the Islamic State group could launch fresh attacks in Europe in the near future.

Europol - the European Union's police agency - said in a grim analysis of IS tactics published on Friday that EU countries participating in the US-led coalition fighting the extremist group in Syria and Iraq are most at risk.

France and Belgium are among the European nations that have joined the US-led coalition. Others include Britain, the Netherlands and Denmark. Germany's military also is involved, but not in combat operations.

Europol director Rob Wainwright said in an interview that counterterrorism agencies are tackling the threat from IS in co-operation with his Hague-based agency.

Europol currently is assisting more than 50 terror investigations by national agencies across the continent, he said.

"That says something about the level of the threat, but also about the level of interconnectedness amongst the counterterrorist community here," Wainwright said at Europol's headquarters.

In the report, Europol says car bombs and other tactics IS uses in Iraq and Syria could also be deployed in Europe. It said past attacks such as those in France and Belgium over the past two years show that extremists acting in the name of IS can effectively plan complex attacks.

"Estimates from some intelligence services indicate several dozen people directed by IS may be currently present in Europe with a capability to commit terrorist attacks," according to the report, which draws on counterterrorism intelligence from around Europe as well as media reports and previously publicised calls by IS leaders for attacks.

Despite the warnings, Wainwright expressed optimism that the counterterrorism efforts will likely, over the long term, rein in the threat posed by IS.

"We're not there yet. I think we will get there. It might be replaced in the future, of course, by another iteration in the international terrorist scene," he said. "So it doesn't have to be the new normal, but we have to take the right measures, right now, to protect our citizens from the kind of atrocities that unfortunately we've suffered in the last two years."

Community leaders also have a role to play in diminishing the threat from IS recruiters and trainers who prey on marginalised youths - some of whom may have mental health problems or backgrounds in petty crime - and incite them to carry out attacks, Wainwright said.

The Europol report notes a shift in IS attacks from symbolic targets such as police officers and military personnel to indiscriminate attacks on civilian targets, such as the attacks a year ago in Paris at a rock concert, the national stadium and bustling sidewalk cafes.

"Indiscriminate attacks have a very powerful effect on the public in general, which is one of the main goals of terrorism: to seriously intimidate a population," according to the report, which concludes the focus on so-called soft targets means that attacking critical infrastructure like power grids and nuclear facilities is "currently not a priority".

The report notes that automatic firearms, knives and vehicles are more easily available than chemical weapons and that "the effectiveness, ease of use and access of these weapons will continue to be relevant".

The consensus among intelligence agencies in EU member states is that "the cyber capabilities of terrorist groups are still relatively low", Europol's report said but added it "should not be discounted".


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Source: AAP


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