Eurozone jobless numbers still high

Although there are encouraging signs for the future, Europe's jobless rate remains high.

Eurozone unemployment continued near record highs in November at 12.1 per cent but there are signs the bad times may be easing as the debt crisis peaks out, analysts say.

They said other data, notably a sharp improvement in retail sales, suggested the economy could be holding its own again after a soft patch but progress would remain slow.

The eurozone jobless rate was 12.1 per cent in November, unchanged from October, while retail sales rose 1.4 per cent by volume, more than reversing a fall of 0.4 per cent in October, the Eurostat statistics agency said.

There were about 19.24 million jobless in the eurozone in November, up 4000 from October but soaring by 452,000 compared with November 2012 as the debt crisis pushed the economy into a deep recession.

Eurozone unemployment hit a record 12.2 per cent in September although this figure was revised down to 12.1 per cent.

The unemployment figures show that the "labour market downturn is starting to ease", said James Howat of Capital Economics.

"Although the number of jobless rose slightly (4000), this only partially reversed October's large fall," he said.

"Looking forward, survey measures of employment intentions suggest that eurozone employment might start expanding again over the coming quarters, albeit at a slow pace."

Howat said the retail sales figures easily beat forecasts for a November gain of 0.3 per cent to put them at the highest rate since early 2011.

That is evidence that "pressure on households is slowly easing," he said.

"Overall, the outlook is starting to brighten a little for eurozone consumers."

Christian Schulz at Berenberg Bank said unemployment figures typically lagged six months behind improvements elsewhere and the latest report pointed to gradual progress.

"The Eurozone's modest economic recovery, which began in the spring of 2013, is gradually helping to stabilise the labour market," Schulz said.

He described the figures as "broadly stable", while the retail sales data after two monthly declines brings "the series back to its stable trend".


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Source: AAP


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