German investor sentiment hits new low

A widely watched investor confidence index in Germany fell by 10.5 points to minus 3.6 points in October, its lowest level since November 2012.

The pall of gloom hanging over the German economy, Europe's biggest, deepened in October as investment sentiment turned negative and fell to its lowest level in nearly two years, a survey shows.

The widely watched investor confidence index calculated by the ZEW economic institute fell by 10.5 points to minus 3.6 points in October, its lowest level since November 2012, and the first time since then that it has been in negative territory, ZEW said in a statement.

It was the 10th month in a row that the index has fallen.

"ZEW's financial market experts expect the economic situation in Germany to decline further over the medium term," said ZEW president Clemens Fuest.

"Geopolitical tensions and the weak economic development in some parts of the eurozone, which is falling short of previous expectations, are a source of persistent uncertainty. These factors are tarnishing growth expectations in Germany," Fuest said.

A raft of recent disappointing data, including factor orders, industrial production, and foreign trade "have likely contributed to the growing pessimism among financial market experts," ZEW added.

Only last week, the country's leading economic institutes slashed their growth forecasts for both this year and next.

And the German government is scheduled to publish its own latest updated forecasts later on Tuesday.

In the wider eurozone, industrial output fell by 1.8 per cent in August, the latest data showed, a steep drop and another sign that recession in the 18-nation currency bloc could return.

For its survey, ZEW questions analysts and institutional investors about their current assessment of the economic situation in Germany, as well as their expectations for the coming months.

The sub-index measuring financial market players' view of the current economic situation in Germany fell by 22.2 points to 3.2 points in October, its lowest level since June 2010.

A frequent criticism of the ZEW index is that it can be volatile and is therefore not particularly reliable.


Share

2 min read

Published

Updated


Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world