Inflation crawls into RBA target band

The consumer price index rose 0.5 per cent in the March quarter for an annual rate 2.1 per cent and back into the RBA's target band.

The Reserve Bank can tick off inflation as one of its immediate worries, but new figures suggest its concerns over housing and employment will haunt it for a while yet.

The consumer price index has crept into the central bank's two to three per cent inflation target for the first time in two years.

Inflation rose 0.5 per cent in the March quarter, a slightly smaller increase than most economists had been expecting, lifting the annual rate to 2.1 per cent.

"Inflation rates will grind slowly higher from here," Commonwealth Bank of Australia chief economist Michael Blythe said on Wednesday.

"It is difficult to get concerned about inflation prospects when wages growth and labour costs remain very well contained."

He expects it will be well into 2018 before the central bank has to raise the cash rates.

The central bank aims to keep inflation within a band over the course of the economic cycle.

But in the past two years, it's been forced to cut the cash rate four times to a record low of 1.5 per cent to try to give the economy a boost through lower lending rates.

Among the most significant price rises in the quarter were for petrol (up 5.7 per cent), electricity (up 2.5 per cent) and new dwelling costs (up 1.0 per cent) but this was partly offset by a 6.7 per cent drop in fruit prices.

Underlying measures of inflation, which smooth out volatile price swings and are key to interest rate decisions, averaged just over 0.4 per cent growth in the quarter for an annual rate of 1.8 per cent.

The central bank will hold its next monthly board meeting on Tuesday.

In the minutes of the April board meeting, it emphasised the labour and housing markets "warranted careful monitoring over coming months".

Mr Blythe said the housing component of CPI may only add to the Reserve Bank's concerns about the housing market.

Hopes that March's strong rise in employment was a turning point for the economy may be premature as new figures show demand for new workers wilting.

Job advertisements on the internet declined 0.6 per cent in March after a revised 0.3 per cent fall in February in trend terms, Department of Employment data released on Wednesday shows.

This left annual growth at just 0.9 per cent.

Six of the eight occupational groups monitored by the department fell in the month while declining in three states and the ACT.


Share
3 min read

Published

Source: AAP


Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world