Markets may slow confidence in economy

Economists expect the extreme volatility seen in financial markets in the past week will have dampened the mood of consumers.

File image of workers at the Downer EDI Rail plant in Maryborough.

Job figures for January, to be released this week, are expected to show modest growth. (AAP)

Australians started 2018 in a positive mood, hitting confidence levels not seen in five years and pointing to a potential win for retailers.

However, the extreme volatility seen in global financial markets in the past week, which has wiped tens of billions of dollars off Australian shares, is likely to have curtailed such exuberance.

The Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment report for February, which is due on Wednesday, will have been surveyed over the weekend.

"Sentiment is likely to be affected by increased financial market turbulence in recent weeks with a sharp sell-off in global equities," Westpac economists say in their weekly outlook.

The sharp drop in Australian shares was triggered by a steep sell-off on Wall Street on concerns the US Federal Reserve may need to be more proactive in raising interest rates.

The more volatile weekly consumer confidence gauge produced by ANZ and pollster Roy Morgan is released on Tuesday.

Confidence has been lifted by a strong employment market despite wages growth having been flatlining at a 20-year low.

January labour figures are released on Thursday.

Economists are expecting a more modest rise in employment in the month of 15,000 after the upbeat pace that saw a record 403,000 people get a job over 2017.

However, they expect this still could be enough to see the jobless rate tick back down to 5.4 per cent per cent from 5.5 per cent in December and to a five-year low seen in October and November last year.

In its quarterly monetary policy statement on Friday, the Reserve Bank said it expects the unemployment rate to have eased to 5.25 per cent by the middle of this year as the economy strengthens.


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Source: AAP



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