New rules to boost Chinese imports: Nomura

Nomura analysts think recent measures by China to curb overseas shopping by its nationals could boost imports through regular channels.

Recent measures by Beijing to curb overseas shopping by Chinese tourists could end up boosting imports into the country through regular channels.

Chinese tourists have remained the highest spending group in the world for three years in a row, spending $US229 billion ($A317 billion) on overseas travel in 2015.

Analysts at financial holding company Nomura have estimated nearly $US135 billion of this was spent on purchasing merchandise.

Local Chinese ordered foreign goods worth another $US40 billion online.

Australia has been a major beneficiary of this growth in overseas spending by Chinese tourists, with spending up 29 per cent in 2015 to $US3 billion.

The country's retail sector has also been boosted by the tourists, who accounted for 1.4 per cent of total retail sales, up from 0.9 per cent two years earlier.

Earlier this year, however, China tightened import rules and implemented tougher customs inspections as part of a crackdown on grey market online trade through warehouses based in free trade zones.

It also rolled out new tax rules on e-commerce imports in April, sparking fears among Australian companies that a lucrative online window for Australian dairy and vitamin products would be closed.

Nomura analysts believe this may not be a bad thing.

"The mainland Chinese are unlikely to quit buying foreign products out of quality and safety concerns, but how they buy them could change on the margin," they said in a note on Tuesday.

"One possibility is more foreign products will be bought onshore via the regular import channels, with pricing made more competitive as import duties are reduced gradually."

The analysts also estimated that online prices would still remain more than 30 per cent cheaper than the offline offerings, encouraging digital shoppers to stick to the route.


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