NRL has rarely been more unpredictable

This year's NRL competition is the closest and most unpredictable in a generation according to the stats.

NRL

Josh Jackson says experience has helped the top teams in year his side has lost many close matches. (AAP)

The NRL has rarely been closer and is more unpredictable than at any time in a generation.

These are the numbers that prove what punters and pundits have been sensing all season - that the form guide often gets thrown out the window.

It also demonstrates how open the premiership race is just a fortnight out from the finals.

The disparity between top-placed Melbourne (32 points) and bottom-placed North Queensland (14) is just 18 points.

That represents the equal smallest margin between first and last at this point in the season in the NRL era (since 1998).

South Sydney skipper Greg Inglis said he couldn't remember a time when the difference between the haves and the have-nots of the competition was so small.

"I think that's just the beauty of the NRL, how even it is nowadays, especially in the last few years," Inglis said.

"It just goes back to the science behind it and how advanced it has become. You can see it through the way teams are performing."

According to the TAB, 72 of 176 of NRL games this year - or 41 per cent - have resulted in upsets.

The bookmaker only keeps records as far back as 2007 and since then there have never been as many underdog victories.

As well, this year's competition is on track to have the most number of games decided by one-point-or-less and six-points-or-less.

According to Fox Sports stats, 68 of 176 games this year have been decided by a margin of less than six points.

With 25 games remaining, it is expected to go past the record of 73 set in 2007.

As well, 14 have come down to one point - three shy of the record set in 2014.

Canterbury are a case in point - on eight occasions this year they've lost by six points or less.

Had they won all of those matches, they'd be sitting in a share of the competition lead instead of 13th.

"It's a bit strange and I'm not sure what it is," Bulldogs captain Josh Jackson said.

"It means the competition is strong.

"That's the difference between the teams that are in the top eight, the top four and the teams that are on the bottom - those teams win the tight games. I think experience and confidence has a lot to do with it."


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Source: AAP


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