NT heads to the polls on Saturday

The polls are heavily tipping Labor to win Saturday's Northern Territory election but opposition leader Michael Gunner isn't taking anything for granted.

NT chief minister Adam Giles

If Labor wins Saturday's election, the NT will go into recession, chief minister Adam Giles says. (AAP)

The polls are on his side but Northern Territory Labor leader Michael Gunner would not say he is confident of winning Saturday's election.

Mr Gunner on Friday joined more than 50,000 electors who have cast an early vote, almost 40 per cent of the 135,506 enrolled.

Limited polling has been heavily in Labor's favour, with a 64 to 36 per cent divide on a two-party preferred basis.

But Mr Gunner remains cautious.

"I'm not getting ahead of myself; Territorians will decide tomorrow," he said.

"I'm telling you as Labor leader: No nasty surprises. I can also guarantee we won't have 18 cabinet reshuffles ... we won't have the chaos."

Chief Minister Adam Giles accused Labor of running a small-target campaign.

"They've sort of been in hiding, they haven't been held account on any of their policies ... there's just no economic plan," he told AAP.

When asked what he hoped his legacy would be if the polls proved right on Saturday, Mr Giles said: "Labor will do their best to remove any legacy."

"We've done amazing things: Restructuring the whole economy; we've got the Territory on a footing just to take off. My concern is Labor will kill everything and we'll go backwards and go into recession."

Mr Giles had campaigned as if he is not going to lose, while Mr Gunner ran a less certain campaign to avoid seeming arrogant, said Professor Rolf Gerritsen, a former NT Labor ministerial adviser now with Charles Darwin University.

He said Mr Giles' view of the past scandal-ridden term was that "it hasn't been a terribly bad government, it's the political shenanigans but not the policy outcomes that are really bad."

Professor Gerritsen expected the CLP to win four or five seats of 25 on Saturday, giving Labor a landslide victory.

A record number of independents are contesting this election, as well as the recently formed 1Territory party, led by two disgruntled former CLP presidents.

But ABC election analyst Anthony Green said he didn't expect them or the Greens to poll well enough to win a seat.

"If the CLP doesn't win Katherine, I think the CLP wouldn't continue to exist as a party," he said.

Pundits have suggested Labor will take 16 or 17 seats, with four independents and four or five CLP.

But Prof Gerritsen warned a win could be something of a poisoned chalice: "This is an election that obviously both sides want to win but I don't think they're going to enjoy the next period of government because next year we're going to hit some very rough financial waters," he said.

Labor would have a very inexperienced government, he noted, with only one of the current contesting MLAs having served as a minister.

Despite the polls, Burt the psychic crocodile picked Mr Giles to win.

"(The CLP) do need to reveal the details of their arrangement with Burt the croc and any other croc casting a vote tomorrow," Mr Gunner joked.

"I don't know if Burt's ever been wrong, he's probably one of the smartest crocodiles in Australia," Mr Giles told the ABC.

"You've got one bloke who seems to be able to pick it right. I might take him with me to the roulette wheel next week."


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Source: AAP


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