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NZ immigration at 10-year high

Strong inwards NZ migration will continue to add to domestic demand and housing pressures, putting up interest rates, says an economist.

New Zealand immigration has risen to a 10-year high, as fewer Kiwis jumped the ditch to Australia and China became the biggest source of new migrants for the first time in a decade.

The country gained a seasonally-adjusted 3,500 net new migrants in February, the most since April 2003, and up from 3,100 in January, according to Statistics New Zealand.

Seasonally-adjusted there was a net outflow of 600 people to Australia in February, down from 850 in January.

On an annual basis, New Zealand net migration rose 13 per cent to 96,900 people for the year ended February, while departures fell 20 per cent to 67,800.

China became the biggest source of net migration for the first time in a decade, with a net gain of 6,100 people, followed by India with more than 5,800, and pipping the UK which had previously provided the biggest net migrant gain.

Chinese long-term arrivals rose 8.7 per cent to 8,556 in the year ended February 28, and are up 14 per cent over the past two years. At the same time, UK arrivals, slipped 0.6 per cent to 13,929, and are down 3.1 per cent over the past two years.

Last week, the Reserve Bank said net migration had rapidly increased over the past 18 months, boosting demand for housing and consumer spending, and was seen as an inflationary pressure that prompted the bank to lift the official cash rate a quarter-point to 2.75 per cent.

"This monthly result suggests migration flows may be starting to run a little ahead of our forecasts, although it is difficult to judge whether that will be sustained," ASB economist Dan Smith said in a note.

"Strong inwards migration will continue to add to domestic demand and housing market pressures, and is one of the reasons why interest rates will rise over the next couple of years."

Auckland attracted most of the nation's new migrants with a net gain of 13,700 in the year. Canterbury followed with a net gain of 5,100 migrations, while Otago recorded a net increase of 600 migrants and Wellington attracted 400 new net migrants.


2 min read

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Source: AAP


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