Queensland Premier Campbell Newman is striding into the 2015 election with an unshakable confidence, but he may have already taken one wrong step.
The LNP has enough of a majority not to worry about losing the next election, however analysts and polls predict Mr Newman himself will be a one-term wonder.
He holds his Ashgrove seat by a perilous 5.7 per cent.
He flat out refuses to switch to a safer seat and it is that decision which may haunt him.
Like the 2012 election, he won't publicly entertain hypotheticals of a plan B if he loses and the party wins the state.
Analysts and polls predict a swing against the party of between 8 and 10 per cent, which would see it lose about 25 seats but hold onto power.
The vast LNP backbench will be the sacrificial lambs.
While publicly disunity is rare, there have been recent outbursts which reveal a couple may be trying to dodge the writing on the wall.
So far, the premier has offered little in terms of what he thinks has hurt his or the LNP's chances.
"I don't reflect on the past, I reflect on where we are going," he told AAP.
"We know we've done a whole lot of things that weren't popular, if voters want the same people that delivered the mess that Queensland is in, then the mob is lining up."
While the premier isn't into navel-gazing, his constituents are highly educated news consumers and are most likely taking notes.
Wars with the public service, unions, and now traditional LNP voters such as doctors and lawyers, haven't weakened Mr Newman's resolve that he is delivering the best medicine for a state crippled by debt.
The law and order crusade targeted outlaw bikie gangs and the sex offender laws tried to tip the scales of justice in favour of victims.
But some have said the anti-association bikie laws have gone too far, where blokes are hauled in after grabbing an icecream or beer at the pub.
And the dangerous sex offender laws, which gave the government power to bypass courts to jail people indefinitely, have been declared invalid by the court of appeal.
Mr Newman doesn't consider that his government has breached the separation of powers by interfering with the judiciary and maintains the concept is more of an American thing.
"Who's stepped over the mark?" he asks.
"As to people's views, I ask them to look at the outcomes, there was a problem, we acted decisively and quickly to protect them."
Mr Newman's says his toughest decision in the last two years was to cut 14,000 jobs and services.
But again industrial disputes are at the forefront of the political agenda as the government continues its public service reforms to reduce expenditure.
Unions were always going to be a target, but the government has now picked a fight with doctors.
Despite threats to quit en masse over individual contracts, Mr Newman says he wouldn't hesitate to fly-in interstate of international replacements.
The `my way or the highway' approach appears to be in contradiction to what Mr Newman promised to leave behind after the LNP's thumping in the Redcliffe by-election in February.
As the premier prepares for next year's election, the war on asset sales is next.
Having learnt from Labor's mistakes, any decision won't be sprung on the community and a mandate will be sought.
"There is an assertion that is damaging, which I reject," Mr Newman says.
"Labor suffered the way they did, because they said the weren't going to sell asset."
After riding high on a once-in-a-century swing in 2012, Griffith University political analyst Paul Williams says the Newman government is struggling to maintain affection.
"A lot of the damage will be irreversible, that's why I think there will be a big swing come hell or high water," he told AAP.
"Only because the government has a huge majority gives it certainty that it can whether the storm."
