RICARDO'S BUSINESS || Shane Oliver on CPI, rate + Europe

The Reserve Bank board is increasingly like to cut interest rates for the first time in 2-and-a-half years next week, following today's Consumer Price Index.

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Increases in the prices of water, electricity and property rates pushed up the quarterly rate of inflation to 0.6%. Annually it's at 3.5%

But the underlying rate, which the RBA looks at because it strips out one off price moves that may skew the headline rate, remained within its 2 to 3 per cent target band.

Shane Oliver from AMP Capital says given the uncertain economic times, that means interest rates will fall next week.

He's also predicting a further two cuts next year, but that the Australian dollar will remain strong.

On the downside, he says a full solution to the European debt crisis may still be some time away.


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By Ricardo Goncalves
Source: SBS

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