Ipswich councillor Paul Tully says he will carry a sack of potatoes on his back down the main street if Pauline Hanson wins the seat of Lockyer.
The two-candidate preferred breakdown on the Queensland Electoral Commission website currently has the One Nation founder ahead with 54.6 per cent of the vote compared to sitting LNP member Ian Rikuss' 45.3 per cent.
However that figure is based on only five of the 61 booths to be counted.
Cr Tully said the votes in the urban pockets of the electorate were still to be distributed, with Ms Hanson doing poorly in those booths on the primary count.
"My thinking still is the LNP will probably win, maybe not by the 3000 I first estimated, but it will be an interesting thing to watch, " he said.
"I don't think it will be resolved for another eight days until all the postal votes have been counted."
Cr Tully said he was so confident of his prediction that he was prepared to honour an unusual promise.
"If she crosses the line, two o'clock in the morning down the main street of Gatton I'll carry a sack of potatoes on my back," he said.
One Nation previously held Lockyer, which stretches between Toowoomba and Ipswich, from 1998 to 2004.
A spokeswoman for Ms Hanson said she would not comment until the result is final.
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