Soft inflation may trigger rate cut

Today's consumer price index was a little softer than expected, but many economists still expect the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates in the coming months.

Pedestrians walk past the Reserve Bank of Australia

(AAP Image/Joel Carrett)

The Reserve Bank Board keeps an eye on inflation to help it make its decision on interest rates.

It likes to make sure underlying inflation, which is the measure that strips out volatile one-off moves in the CPI to give a more accurate read on prices, is between its 2 to 3 per cent target band to support economic growth.

In the December quarter, it was at 2.2 per cent, at the botton end of its target band.

Underlying inflation (December quarter)
But if inflation eases too much, or even worse, the economy enters a period of deflation, consumers hesitate when making purchasing decisions, and that isn't good for economic growth.

Think of it this way, if you're looking to buy a new television but realise that prices are falling, you'd probably wait until prices stabilise to make that purchase. If prices on a whole range of products fall, then you'll keep waiting, and that isn't good for business or the economy.

Today's data from the Bureau of Statistics show domestic holiday travel and accomodation prices rose the most in the quarter.
Inflation
Petrol prices and electrical products saw the biggest decline.
Inflation
ANZ Chief Economist Warren Hogan still thinks we'll see a few interest rate cuts. Watch the video below to find out when.


 


Share

2 min read

Published

Updated


Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world