THE STATE OF PLAY
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES (150 seats)
Coalition 90
Labor 55
Greens 1
Independents 4
THE SENATE (76 seats)
Coalition 33
Labor 25
Greens 10
Crossbench 8
TO WIN MAJORITY GOVERNMENT
* Labor needs to gain 21 seats on a uniform swing of 4.3 per cent from the 2103 election. On paper, it has three of those seats (Dobell, Paterson and Barton) in the bag following a redistribution of NSW electoral boundaries, but loses the abolished seat of Hunter.
* The coalition can afford to lose 14 of the seats it holds now on a swing to Labor of 3 per cent.
* The latest round of opinion polls has the parties 50-50 - a swing to Labor of 3.5 per cent but not quite enough to win government.
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