Both of Victoria's major political leaders have dismissed the latest opinion poll, which shows the coalition government facing defeat at the November 29 election.
The Fairfax Ipsos poll shows Denis Napthine's government trails Labor 44 per cent to 56 per cent on a two-party preferred basis, with less than a month to go.
That is a 6.6 per cent swing to Labor since the 2010 election and could result in the loss of up to 10 coalition seats, making it the first one-term government since 1955.
The premier said pollsters also got it wrong at the last election.
"There's only one poll that counts. That's on the 29th of November," Dr Napthine said.
"If you look back four years ago, the polls were saying that the (Labor) Brumby government were going to win."
Opposition Leader Daniel Andrews said he takes nothing for granted and would not be distracted by poll results.
"Denis Napthine is completely irrelevant to my plan to put people first," he said.
"We can't have four more years like the last four and I'm determined to give Victorians a choice."
Dr Napthine is still the preferred premier on 45 per cent, with Mr Andrews on 36 per cent.
The primary vote figures are much tighter, with the coalition on 39 per cent, down about six percentage points on the last election, while Labor is on 37 per cent.
Labor was perceived to be better at managing health, education, employment, public transport and the environment.
The Liberals were perceived to have the advantage at managing the state's finances, law and order, and roads.
The Greens' primary vote has risen to 17 per cent, from 11 per cent at the last election.
The Palmer United Party will not run candidates for the lower house, but has two per cent support, while other minor parties and independents are on seven per cent.
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