Wage growth weak, price growth weaker

Wage growth may be the weakest on record, but you're unlikely to notice because prices are rising even more slowly.

$100 Australian dollar notes pop out of a wallet in Brisbane

Wages are barely rising but the average Australian can still afford to buy more stuff. (AAP)

Wages are barely rising but the average Australian can still afford to buy more stuff.

In the year to March, wages rose 2.1 per cent, new figures show, meaning the average Australian earning $74,724 a year got paid about $30 extra per week.

Total hourly rates of pay, excluding bonuses, rose by 0.4 per cent in the March quarter, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday.

That's the slowest growth in wages recorded since the Australian Bureau of Statistics wage price index began in 1997.

But wages are still growing faster than consumer prices, which only rose 1.3 per cent over the same period.

CommSec chief economist Craig James says it's a win-win situation because consumers can afford to buy more goods and services and businesses can afford to give more people jobs.

"Add in the strong flow of dividends from companies, lower interest rates and higher home prices and there is plenty of latent spending power to boost sales at retailers," Mr James said in a note.

"If you are getting paid a bonus as well, there is even more reason to spend."

Westpac senior economist Justin Smirk said slow wage growth signalled that the prices of goods and services were unlikely to heat up and outlook was pretty benign.

"One that is set to remain so given modest job gains, increasing market competition in the retail space in particular, declining inflation expectations and rising supply of workers in the sectors that are expanding," he said in a note to clients.

RBC Capital Markets fixed income and currency strategist Michael Turner said sluggish wage growth added to the case for the Reserve Bank to cut rates on June 1.

After Tuesday's figures, the RBA board would be able to examine the April unemployment rate and March quarter capital expenditure data and GDP growth before its next meeting.

"We expect the sum of these parts to confirm limited progress in reducing spare capacity and muted prospects for non-mining investment," Mr Turner said.

That, he said, "should provide the RBA with enough reason" to follow May's move with another 25 basis point reduction in June.


Share

2 min read

Published

Updated

Source: AAP



Share this with family and friends


Get SBS News daily and direct to your Inbox

Sign up now for the latest news from Australia and around the world direct to your inbox.

By subscribing, you agree to SBS’s terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS.

Download our apps
SBS News
SBS Audio
SBS On Demand

Listen to our podcasts
An overview of the day's top stories from SBS News
Interviews and feature reports from SBS News
Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves.
A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability
Get the latest with our News podcasts on your favourite podcast apps.

Watch on SBS
SBS World News

SBS World News

Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service
Watch the latest news videos from Australia and across the world