Is rising One Nation support an existential threat to the Liberals?
As the leadership spill continues to build in the Liberal Party, with more frontbenchers resigning, analysts and polls say the party faces a bigger existential problem, as some Coalition voters move to support One Nation.
The most recent Roy Morgan poll from 2-8 February indicates that 24.5 per cent of voters support One Nation, whereas 22.5 per cent prefer the Liberal/National Party coalition.
In contrast, the January average polling showed 24 per cent backing the Coalition and 21.5 per cent supporting One Nation.
A recent Newspoll published by The Australian also revealed a historic low for the Coalition, with support plunging to 18 per cent and marking Opposition leader Sussan Ley as the least popular major party leader in 23 years.
The Newspoll showed One Nation polling at 27 per cent.
Analysts say a significant part of the increase in One Nation support is coming from traditional Liberal voters, predominantly gen X and baby boomers.
On 22 January, when the Nationals and Liberals were split, Simon Welsh, director of research and reputation at political consultancy firm Redbridge, said: "The idea of a major political institution falling over shouldn't be dismissed".
"I think this is a real existential moment for the Libs," he told SBS News.
— Niv Sadrolodabaee




